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FOREX HISTORY
History of Forex and the Forex
Market
In 1967, a Chicago bank refused a
college professor by the name of Milton Friedman a loan in pound sterling
because he had intended to use the funds to short the British currency.
Friedman, who had perceived sterling to be priced too high against the dollar,
wanted to sell the currency, then later buy it back to repay the bank after
the currency declined, thus pocketing a quick profit. The bank’s refusal to
grant the loan was due to the Bretton Woods Agreement, established twenty
years earlier, which fixed national currencies against the dollar, and set the
dollar at a rate of $35 per ounce of gold. The Bretton Woods Agreement, set up
in 1944, aimed at installing international monetary stability by preventing
money from fleeing across nations, and restricting speculation in the world
currencies.
Prior to the Agreement, the gold
exchange standard--prevailing between 1876 and World War I--dominated the
international economic system. Under the gold exchange, currencies gained a
new phase of stability as they were backed by the price of gold. It abolished
the age-old practice used by kings and rulers of arbitrarily debasing money
and triggering inflation. But the gold exchange standard didn’t lack faults.
As an economy strengthened, it would import heavily from abroad until it ran
down its gold reserves required to back its money; consequently, the money
supply would shrink, interest rates rose and economic activity slowed to the
extent of recession.
Ultimately, prices of goods had hit
bottom, appearing attractive to other nations, who would rush into buying
sprees that injected the economy with gold until it increased its money
supply, and drive down interest rates and recreate wealth into the economy.
Such boom-bust patterns prevailed throughout the gold standard until the
outbreak of World War I interrupted trade flows and the free movement of gold.
After the Wars, the Bretton Woods
Agreement was founded, where participating countries agreed to try and
maintain the value of their currency with a narrow margin against the dollar
and a corresponding rate of gold as needed. Countries were prohibited from
devaluing their currencies to their trade advantage and were only allowed to
do so for devaluations of less than 10%.
Into the 1950s, the ever-expanding
volume of international trade led to massive movements of capital generated by
post-war construction. That destabilized foreign exchange rates as setup in
Bretton Woods. The Agreement was finally abandoned in 1971, and the US dollar
would no longer be convertible into gold. By 1973, currencies of major
industrialized nations floated more freely, as they were controlled mainly by
the forces of supply and demand.
Prices were floated daily, with
volumes, speed and price volatility all increasing throughout the 1970s,
giving rise to new financial instruments, market deregulation and trade
liberalization. In the 1980s, cross-border capital movements accelerated with
the advent of computers and technology, extending market continuum through
Asian, European and American time zones. Transactions in foreign exchange
rocketed from about $70 billion a day in the 1980s, to more than $1.5 trillion
a day two decades later.
The Explosion of the Euromarket A
major catalyst to the acceleration of Forex trading was the rapid development
of the eurodollar market; where US dollars are deposited in banks outside the
US. Similarly, Euromarkets are those where assets are deposited outside the
currency of origin. The Eurodollar market first came into being in the 1950s
when Russia’s oil revenue-- all in dollars -- was deposited outside the US in
fear of being frozen by US regulators.
That gave rise to a vast offshore
pool of dollars outside the control of US authorities. The US government
imposed laws to restrict dollar lending to foreigners. Euromarkets were
particularly attractive because they had far less regulations and offered
higher yields.
From the late 1980s onwards, US
companies began to borrow offshore, finding Euromarkets a beneficial center
for holding excess liquidity, providing short-term loans and financing imports
and exports. London was, and remains the principal offshore market. In the
1980s, it became the key center in the Eurodollar market when British banks
began lending dollars as an alternative to pounds in order to maintain their
leading position in global finance. London’s convenient geographical location
(operating during Asian and American markets) is also instrumental in
preserving its dominance in the Euromarket.
Over the last three decades the
foreign exchange market has become the world's largest financial market, with
over $1.5 trillion USD traded daily. Forex is part of the bank-to-bank
currency market known as the 24-hour Interbank market. The Interbank market
literally follows the sun around the world, moving from major banking centers
of the United States to Australia, New Zealand to the Far East, to Europe then
back to the United States.
Until recently, the forex market
wasn't for the average trader or individual speculator. With the large minimum
transaction sizes and often-stringent financial requirements, banks, hedge
funds, major currency dealers and the occasional high net-worth individual
speculator were the principal participants. These large traders were able to
take advantage of the many benefits offered by the forex market vs. other
markets, including fantastic liquidity and the strong trending nature of the
world's primary currency exchange rates.
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